NCAA Football Odds: Nevada Wolf Pack at No 4 Boise State Broncos
Friday, September 30, 2011
by Frank Martin
Nevada Wolf Pack squashed Boise State Broncos' BCS title hopes last November and the Wolf Pack will go for another major upset when they visit the No. 5 Broncos on Saturday. Nevada rallied from a 17-point halftime deficit for a memorable 34-31 overtime victory last season in a game remembered for two short field-goal misses by Boise State's Kyle Brotzman.
The victory was Nevada's first ever against a Top 10 program. The two squads are in different conferences this season due to Boise State's move to the Mountain West. But they'll be back together in 2012 when the Nevada Wolf Pack leaves the WAC for the Mountain West. Nevada is playing its fourth consecutive road game.
Nevada Wolf Pack (3-0): The Nevada Wolf Pack are in transition mode after losing star quarterback Colin Kaepernick to the NFL. Senior Tyler Lantrip (522 passing yards in three games) has seen most of the action but redshirt freshman Cody Fajardo (10 pass attempts) will also play against Boise State. Matthews has caught a team-best 20 passes. He had 10 receptions for 172 yards against the Broncos last season. Mike Ball (362 rushing yards) has emerged as Nevada's top running back. Nevada's losses this season have been to Oregon and Texas Tech. The defense is allowing 39.3 points and getting little pass rush; defensive tackle Brett Roy has all four of the team's sacks.
Boise State Broncos (1-2): The Boise State Broncos routed Tulsa last Saturday for their 63rd consecutive regular-season home victory dating to the 2001 campaign. Quarterback Kellen Moore has completed an unbelievable 79 percent of his passes for 995 yards and 12 touchdowns. Receiver Tyler Shoemaker has six TD catches. Running back Doug Martin is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry (he averaged 6.3 in 2010) but rushed for a career-best 152 yards against Nevada last season. Cornerback Jerrell Gavins has three interceptions and will be counted on to slow Wolf Pack receiver Rishard Matthews, who scorched Boise State last year.
1. Boise State is 15-2 at home against Nevada and leads the overall series 24-13.
2. Nevada's first home game will be Oct. 8 against UNLV.
3. Moore is 41-2 as a starter, four wins behind the record held by Colt McCoy at Texas.
NCAA PREDICTION: Boise State 48, Nevada 20 – There is no payback for what happened last season, but expect the Broncos to take joy in walloping this year's version of the Wolf Pack.
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